Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 7-4
Paysandu vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.3%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
REM
1 - 0
PAY
26%
24%
50%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
PAY
15%
22%
63%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
REC
1 - 2
PAY
17%
22%
60%
|
62 | 43 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
PAY
4 - 0
CAS
75%
17%
8%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2018 |
PAY
4 - 0
INT
74%
18%
9%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 3
PAY
15%
22%
63%
|
43 | 62 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
2 - 1
ATL
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2018 |
SAN
1 - 2
SPO
8%
16%
77%
|
42 | 74 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 2
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Aug. 2017 |
SAN
7 - 2
ECM
68%
18%
14%
|
43 | 29 | 14 | 0 |