Paysandu vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 1
PAY
30%
26%
44%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
PAY
5 - 1
TRE
63%
21%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAY
29%
25%
46%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2012 |
PAY
0 - 0
SAN
59%
23%
18%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
FOR
3 - 1
PAY
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ICA
2 - 0
SAL
47%
26%
27%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
SAL
1 - 1
AGU
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 2
SAL
61%
23%
16%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
0 - 0
FOR
28%
28%
44%
|
54 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 0
GUA
52%
24%
24%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |