Série C Quarter-finals
Global 3-4
Paysandu vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13.7%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 1
PAY
23%
25%
52%
|
60 | 50 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
RIO
3 - 1
PAY
48%
23%
29%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2010 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAO
74%
17%
9%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 1
PAY
33%
26%
41%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
PAY
1 - 1
FOR
60%
22%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
SAL
1 - 1
PAY
23%
25%
52%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
ALE
0 - 2
SAL
40%
27%
33%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 0
CRB
36%
27%
38%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2010 |
SAL
2 - 1
CAM
32%
27%
40%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 22 Aug. 2010 |
ABC
3 - 1
SAL
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | -1 |