Paysandu vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
8.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
13.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
15%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.2%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.1%
0
13.9%
4.7%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PAY
3 - 0
CAS
82%
13%
4%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 0
PAY
8%
17%
75%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
CAN
1 - 1
PAY
6%
13%
81%
|
67 | 11 | 56 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAM
0 - 1
PAY
8%
17%
75%
|
67 | 37 | 30 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
PAY
2 - 1
BPA
82%
14%
4%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
AGU
0 - 2
RIO
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 3
RIO
18%
21%
61%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
RIO
0 - 0
CRB
7%
18%
76%
|
38 | 80 | 42 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 1
RIO
25%
21%
54%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2023 |
GAL
0 - 0
RIO
28%
24%
48%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |