Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 6-2
Paysandu vs Rio Branco Acre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.3%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
16%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16%
7.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 1
REM
68%
20%
13%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 0
CAM
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 38 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
PAY
3 - 0
FAS
76%
16%
8%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FAS
1 - 1
PAY
17%
22%
62%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAY
8%
16%
76%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Rio Branco Acre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ATL
0 - 1
RIO
47%
25%
28%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2016 |
RIO
3 - 0
PLA
75%
16%
9%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GAL
1 - 1
RIO
26%
23%
52%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
VAS
0 - 5
RIO
16%
18%
66%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2016 |
GEN
2 - 1
RIO
26%
24%
50%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | -1 |