Paysandu vs Real Ariquemes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.2%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
+4
10.1%
3-0
13.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
16.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.7%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
13.7%
5.1%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2023 |
TAP
0 - 2
PAY
7%
14%
80%
|
61 | 29 | 32 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
PAY
3 - 1
SCI
84%
12%
5%
|
61 | 24 | 37 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
VIL
1 - 1
PAY
49%
26%
25%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
0 - 0
VIL
32%
26%
43%
|
61 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
PAY
3 - 0
SAO
79%
15%
6%
|
61 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Real Ariquemes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
CAS
2 - 3
RDA
62%
22%
16%
|
34 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
RDA
0 - 4
TOC
21%
24%
55%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
CAC
1 - 0
RDA
34%
27%
40%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
RDA
0 - 0
CAC
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
RDA
2 - 1
POR
33%
25%
42%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |