Copa do Brasil 1/16
Global 3-1
Paysandu vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
PAY
0 - 0
CAM
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
AGU
2 - 2
PAY
38%
24%
38%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
POT
0 - 0
PAY
25%
23%
52%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
PAY
1 - 1
REM
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
PAY
2 - 1
ANA
74%
16%
10%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 2010 |
POT
3 - 2
SAN
45%
24%
31%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2010 |
ABC
2 - 1
POT
64%
19%
17%
|
45 | 55 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
POT
1 - 1
ALE
53%
23%
24%
|
45 | 43 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2010 |
POT
0 - 0
PAY
25%
23%
52%
|
45 | 56 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2010 |
CCP
1 - 4
POT
21%
22%
57%
|
45 | 22 | 23 | 0 |