Paysandu vs Peñarol AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.5%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
24.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
7.6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
ITU
3 - 1
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
PAY
0 - 0
BOT
47%
29%
25%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 0
PAY
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PAY
2 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 3
PAY
32%
28%
40%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2021 |
RDA
0 - 2
PEN
40%
27%
33%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
4DE
3 - 0
PEN
51%
26%
23%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 0
4DE
28%
26%
46%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PEN
2 - 1
GAS
71%
18%
11%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CAS
1 - 1
PEN
64%
22%
15%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |