Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 1-2
Paysandu vs Naviraiense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.3%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
13.4%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2013 |
PAR
0 - 4
PAY
24%
22%
54%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 1
PAY
27%
24%
49%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
PAY
1 - 2
REM
67%
19%
15%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
REM
2 - 1
PAY
26%
23%
51%
|
59 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2013 |
SAO
0 - 2
PAY
12%
17%
72%
|
59 | 32 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Naviraiense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2013 |
NAV
0 - 1
PAY
27%
24%
49%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
CEN
4 - 0
NAV
64%
20%
17%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 2
CEN
35%
25%
40%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
NAV
1 - 2
ITA
57%
22%
21%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2013 |
POR
1 - 1
NAV
73%
18%
9%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | +1 |