Copa Verde Last 16
Global 11-2
Paysandu vs Náutico RR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.8%
7.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
PAY
0 - 0
REM
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 7
PAY
15%
20%
64%
|
56 | 30 | 26 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 2
PAR
73%
17%
10%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAY
20%
21%
59%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2014 |
PAY
6 - 0
FRA
73%
17%
11%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | +1 |
Matches
Náutico RR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 7
PAY
15%
20%
64%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
NAC
6 - 1
NAU
72%
17%
11%
|
30 | 45 | 15 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
1 - 2
PLA
35%
24%
41%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2013 |
GEN
3 - 3
NAU
50%
22%
28%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 0
PAR
20%
24%
57%
|
25 | 44 | 19 | +6 |