Copa Verde Last 16
Global 1-0
Paysandu vs Nacional AM analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.1%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.1%
5.3%
Win probability
0.44
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2019 |
LUV
1 - 3
PAY
37%
29%
34%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
PAY
4 - 0
ATL
74%
18%
8%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
PAY
12%
21%
67%
|
62 | 37 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
ECS
1 - 1
PAY
34%
30%
36%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2019 |
PAY
2 - 2
BOA
58%
25%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nacional AM
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
0 - 1
PAY
12%
21%
67%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 0
SCH
67%
18%
16%
|
36 | 24 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2019 |
SCH
1 - 1
NAC
22%
21%
56%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
0 - 0
NAC
53%
25%
23%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2019 |
NAC
2 - 1
PRI
56%
23%
22%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |