Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 4-3
Paysandu vs Maranhão analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 1
PAY
14%
19%
67%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 1
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PAY
3 - 1
IAC
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
PAY
16%
22%
62%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
PAY
0 - 0
REM
61%
21%
18%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Maranhão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
MAR
2 - 2
PAY
16%
22%
62%
|
37 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
COR
4 - 3
MAR
43%
23%
34%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
IMP
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ARA
1 - 0
MAR
20%
22%
58%
|
40 | 20 | 20 | -2 |
| 07 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 1
MOT
53%
24%
23%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | -1 |