Copa Verde Eliminatorias Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Paysandu vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
17.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
PAY
25%
25%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAY
3 - 1
BPA
80%
14%
5%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAY
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
BPA
0 - 3
PAY
8%
18%
75%
|
66 | 36 | 30 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
PAY
3 - 0
RIO
81%
14%
5%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
PAY
25%
25%
51%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 1
MAN
27%
25%
48%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 1
AFC
26%
25%
49%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
3 - 2
TOC
63%
21%
16%
|
54 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
UDA
0 - 2
MAN
13%
19%
68%
|
54 | 18 | 36 | 0 |