Copa Verde Semi-finals
Global 4-2
Paysandu vs Manaus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+52%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
PAY
2 - 0
BPA
66%
20%
15%
|
59 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2018 |
BPA
2 - 0
PAY
14%
18%
68%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 1
PAR
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2018 |
PAY
4 - 2
SAN
75%
17%
8%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
REM
1 - 0
PAY
26%
24%
50%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Manaus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
RIO
1 - 1
MAN
29%
23%
48%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 1
FAS
60%
22%
18%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 0
RIO
61%
21%
17%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
MAN
1 - 1
RIO
60%
22%
19%
|
43 | 32 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
SAO
1 - 1
MAN
12%
16%
72%
|
44 | 16 | 28 | -1 |