Paysandu vs Luverdense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.6%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
19.2%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2012 |
PAY
0 - 1
COT
18%
23%
60%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2012 |
COT
4 - 1
PAY
82%
13%
6%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
PAY
1 - 1
AGU
69%
18%
14%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
1 - 4
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAY
33%
24%
43%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Luverdense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2012 |
CUI
1 - 0
LUV
35%
24%
41%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
LUV
1 - 0
CUI
53%
23%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
LUV
3 - 0
VIL
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 44 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 3
LUV
20%
23%
57%
|
55 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2012 |
SOR
4 - 4
LUV
18%
23%
59%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |