Paysandu vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
PAY
0 - 2
AMF
33%
26%
41%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
AVA
2 - 0
PAY
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
PAY
2 - 1
FFL
24%
26%
50%
|
57 | 72 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
ABC
3 - 0
PAY
52%
25%
23%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 1
PAY
71%
18%
11%
|
58 | 74 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2013 |
PAR
1 - 1
JEC
48%
26%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
JEC
3 - 1
FFL
38%
26%
36%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | +2 |
| 31 Jul. 2013 |
JEC
2 - 3
BOA
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 24 Jul. 2013 |
ICA
2 - 1
JEC
26%
27%
47%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
ABC
0 - 0
JEC
38%
27%
35%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |