Copa Verde Final
Global 3-1
Paysandu vs Itapemirim analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.2%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
JUV
1 - 1
PAY
32%
30%
39%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
SAM
1 - 1
PAY
41%
28%
31%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2018 |
PAY
2 - 1
BRA
45%
27%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 2
PAY
16%
19%
65%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 0
LON
34%
28%
38%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Itapemirim
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
NOV
26%
25%
49%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
NOV
2 - 1
ITA
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
AME
62%
22%
16%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 2
PAY
16%
19%
65%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
UBE
1 - 0
ITA
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |