Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 4-1
Paysandu vs Independente AC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
6%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.1%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
IAC
1 - 2
PAY
15%
19%
67%
|
65 | 51 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
REM
2 - 4
PAY
22%
23%
55%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 1
REM
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 5
PAY
17%
23%
60%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
AGU
2 - 2
PAY
19%
23%
58%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Independente AC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
IAC
1 - 2
PAY
15%
19%
67%
|
51 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2015 |
GOI
3 - 0
IAC
80%
15%
6%
|
51 | 79 | 28 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
IAC
1 - 0
GOI
11%
19%
69%
|
50 | 79 | 29 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
ICA
2 - 0
IAC
63%
21%
17%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2015 |
IAC
5 - 0
ICA
21%
22%
57%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | +2 |