Paysandu vs Guaraní analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
OES
2 - 2
PAY
53%
26%
21%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2018 |
PAY
1 - 2
VIL
37%
29%
35%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2018 |
COT
2 - 0
PAY
62%
24%
15%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
PAY
0 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
33%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
CRB
1 - 1
PAY
51%
25%
24%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guaraní
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 3
FFL
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2018 |
GUA
2 - 1
COT
33%
28%
39%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2018 |
OES
0 - 1
GUA
41%
28%
31%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2018 |
GUA
1 - 1
BOA
65%
23%
12%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2018 |
AVA
3 - 3
GUA
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |