Copa Verde Final
Global 3-2
Paysandu vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
11.3%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 0
IAC
74%
16%
10%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
IAC
1 - 2
PAY
15%
19%
67%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
REM
2 - 4
PAY
22%
23%
55%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
PAY
2 - 1
REM
67%
20%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
RIO
2 - 5
PAY
17%
23%
60%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 1
LUZ
46%
28%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
1 - 2
APA
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
APA
1 - 3
GAM
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
LUZ
1 - 1
GAM
38%
28%
34%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
GAM
2 - 0
SAN
65%
22%
13%
|
51 | 34 | 17 | 0 |