Paysandu vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
36.9%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.3%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SAN
4 - 1
PAY
74%
16%
10%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
PAY
0 - 0
REM
72%
17%
11%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 0
ANA
88%
8%
3%
|
76 | 43 | 33 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ABA
0 - 0
PAY
11%
18%
71%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2005 |
AGU
2 - 3
PAY
12%
19%
69%
|
76 | 46 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
FLU
2 - 1
SAO
30%
25%
45%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2005 |
FLU
3 - 0
GRE
66%
20%
14%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2005 |
VOL
1 - 3
FLU
18%
22%
61%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
FLU
3 - 4
VOL
82%
13%
6%
|
80 | 59 | 21 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
FLA
1 - 4
FLU
43%
25%
32%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | +1 |