Paysandu vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PAY
2 - 2
ATP
44%
24%
32%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 1
PAY
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 1
PAY
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PAY
3 - 2
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAY
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 2
GRE
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 1
JUV
56%
24%
20%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2004 |
FLU
2 - 2
AME
69%
19%
12%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2004 |
JUV
2 - 2
FLU
45%
25%
30%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 0
OLA
83%
12%
5%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |