Paysandu vs Fluminense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
39.1%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
SAO
2 - 0
PAY
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
PAY
5 - 2
SAO
29%
24%
47%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
BOC
0 - 1
PAY
73%
17%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
PPE
4 - 4
PAY
63%
20%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
UCO
1 - 1
PAY
49%
23%
29%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 0
VAS
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2003 |
SPO
2 - 1
FLU
39%
26%
36%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
GRE
0 - 1
FLU
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 1
SPO
63%
21%
17%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
0 - 0
PAR
56%
22%
21%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |