Paysandu vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
27.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
4 - 1
PAY
49%
24%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2004 |
SAO
7 - 0
PAY
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2004 |
PAY
3 - 1
CRZ
34%
26%
41%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
PAY
3 - 1
FFL
49%
25%
27%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2004 |
GRE
1 - 1
PAY
55%
23%
22%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
FFL
3 - 2
FLA
46%
26%
29%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2004 |
FLA
0 - 0
COR
45%
26%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
ATP
2 - 1
FLA
61%
21%
18%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2004 |
FLA
2 - 2
SAN
30%
26%
45%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2004 |
FLA
4 - 0
GOI
34%
27%
39%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | +1 |