Copa Verde Last 16
Global 4-1
Paysandu vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
7.7%
Win probability
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FAS
1 - 1
PAY
17%
22%
62%
|
63 | 45 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAY
8%
16%
76%
|
63 | 35 | 28 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2016 |
PAY
0 - 0
FRA
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 40 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 1
PAY
24%
24%
53%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
PAY
1 - 1
REM
70%
19%
12%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
FAS
1 - 1
PAY
17%
22%
62%
|
45 | 63 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2016 |
AGU
3 - 0
FAS
60%
22%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
FAS
0 - 1
AGU
39%
25%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Jun. 2015 |
FAS
0 - 2
PRI
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
PRI
0 - 1
FAS
39%
26%
34%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | +1 |