Paysandu vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2005 |
PAL
5 - 3
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
3 - 1
FFL
51%
24%
25%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2005 |
SAO
4 - 1
PAY
71%
18%
11%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2005 |
GOI
4 - 1
PAY
61%
21%
18%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2005 |
PAY
3 - 0
JUV
47%
25%
29%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2005 |
COT
0 - 2
GOI
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2005 |
PAR
3 - 2
COT
48%
26%
26%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2005 |
COT
2 - 0
VAS
43%
25%
32%
|
81 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2005 |
JUV
0 - 0
COT
42%
27%
30%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2005 |
COT
0 - 0
FLU
38%
26%
37%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |