Paysandu vs Ceará analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
35.3%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2017 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAY
39%
29%
33%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 0
NAU
48%
26%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Jul. 2017 |
VIL
1 - 2
PAY
49%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
CRI
1 - 1
PAY
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 2
LON
41%
29%
30%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Ceará
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2017 |
CEA
0 - 1
GOI
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2017 |
GUA
2 - 2
CEA
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
CEA
2 - 0
JUV
52%
26%
22%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2017 |
CEA
0 - 2
SCI
24%
29%
48%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | -1 |
| 08 Jul. 2017 |
FFL
0 - 2
CEA
44%
27%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |