Paysandu vs Castanhal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
9.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
11.7%
3-0
15.5%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
19%
2-0
18.2%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
6%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.3%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
4.7%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
0
11.5%
3.2%
Win probability
0.33
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.1%
-1
2.8%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2025 |
PAY
1 - 1
POR
83%
13%
5%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
SRE
2 - 1
PAY
4%
9%
88%
|
80 | 20 | 60 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
PAY
2 - 1
TUN
88%
10%
3%
|
80 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
AGU
2 - 4
PAY
5%
15%
80%
|
80 | 48 | 32 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
PAY
4 - 1
CPO
80%
14%
6%
|
80 | 8 | 72 | 0 |
Matches
Castanhal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 1
AGU
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2025 |
CPO
0 - 0
CAS
15%
18%
67%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2025 |
FRA
0 - 2
CAS
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
CAS
1 - 0
SEC
55%
22%
24%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
PAY
3 - 0
CAS
82%
13%
4%
|
38 | 67 | 29 | 0 |