Paysandu vs Brasiliense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.2%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAY
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
0 - 2
COR
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
CRZ
4 - 3
PAY
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
4 - 1
CRZ
36%
24%
40%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
FOR
1 - 2
PAY
50%
24%
27%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brasiliense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
SAO
1 - 2
BRA
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2005 |
FLU
1 - 1
BRA
75%
16%
9%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 2
GOI
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
1 - 0
JUV
39%
26%
35%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |