Paysandu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+30%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
PAY
0 - 2
ATM
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
PAR
2 - 0
PAY
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2005 |
PAY
2 - 1
BRA
59%
22%
19%
|
75 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2005 |
SCI
1 - 0
PAY
57%
23%
20%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
PAY
0 - 2
COR
34%
26%
41%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
BOT
2 - 0
PAR
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
FLA
3 - 1
BOT
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2005 |
BOT
1 - 0
SAO
43%
25%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
BRA
0 - 0
BOT
41%
26%
33%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2005 |
PPE
0 - 1
BOT
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |