Paysandu vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
PAY
2 - 1
SCI
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ATP
2 - 0
PAY
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
PAY
2 - 1
COR
44%
25%
31%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
FLU
1 - 1
PAY
54%
24%
22%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2004 |
PAY
0 - 1
JUV
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
CRI
41%
26%
34%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2004 |
ATM
1 - 1
BOT
69%
18%
13%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2004 |
BOT
2 - 0
SAN
21%
22%
57%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2004 |
GOI
3 - 1
BOT
71%
17%
12%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2004 |
BOT
1 - 1
ATP
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |