Paysandu vs Botafogo PB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.9%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25%
28.5%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.5%
24.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2021 |
CRI
0 - 0
PAY
44%
28%
29%
|
60 | 60 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
PAY
2 - 0
MAN
49%
26%
25%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
ALT
2 - 3
PAY
32%
28%
40%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Sep. 2021 |
FER
5 - 1
PAY
40%
28%
31%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -2 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
PAY
1 - 0
SAN
60%
25%
16%
|
59 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Botafogo PB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
BOT
0 - 1
ITU
44%
28%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
SAN
1 - 1
BOT
30%
30%
40%
|
61 | 51 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 0
JAC
66%
21%
12%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 0
BOT
37%
30%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
BOT
1 - 1
TOM
43%
29%
28%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |