Paysandu vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.4%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
24%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
31.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
GUA
2 - 1
PAY
51%
24%
25%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2003 |
CRZ
2 - 1
PAY
73%
16%
11%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PAY
3 - 2
JUV
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
GRE
2 - 0
PAY
49%
25%
26%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
PAY
1 - 2
VAS
43%
24%
33%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2003 |
ATP
2 - 2
VAS
47%
24%
29%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
ATP
3 - 1
GUA
56%
23%
21%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
BAH
0 - 2
ATP
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
ATP
4 - 3
SAO
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
GOI
4 - 1
ATP
54%
23%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |