Paysandu vs América Mineiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
10.4%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.1%
27.7%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1977 |
PAY
2 - 1
BOT
45%
28%
28%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1977 |
REM
0 - 0
PAY
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1977 |
PAY
1 - 3
ATM
22%
23%
56%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1977 |
FAS
2 - 3
PAY
28%
26%
46%
|
70 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
PAY
1 - 1
NAC
50%
27%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
América Mineiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1977 |
NAC
1 - 0
AMF
46%
28%
26%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1977 |
AMF
1 - 2
BOT
54%
22%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1977 |
USC
1 - 0
AMF
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1977 |
ATM
3 - 1
AMF
71%
19%
10%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1977 |
SAN
1 - 1
AMF
68%
21%
11%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |