Copa do Brasil 1/64
Global 4-2
Paysandu vs Águia Negra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.1%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
21.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
REM
1 - 3
PAY
36%
26%
39%
|
57 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2015 |
IND
2 - 0
PAY
15%
20%
65%
|
58 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
NAC
1 - 1
PAY
31%
25%
44%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
PAY
36%
26%
39%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
CAS
0 - 1
PAY
17%
22%
61%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Águia Negra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
COM
2 - 0
AGU
21%
24%
55%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
UBI
0 - 2
AGU
71%
17%
12%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
2 - 2
PAY
36%
26%
39%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
AGU
1 - 1
IVI
52%
24%
24%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
7DE
1 - 1
AGU
32%
25%
43%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |