Paraense Inicial Semi-finals
Global 5-1
Paysandu vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.4%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
+4
8.6%
3-0
12%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.9%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
6.8%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+42%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAY
13%
21%
67%
|
66 | 45 | 21 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
PAY
4 - 1
MAN
60%
22%
17%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
MAN
1 - 0
PAY
25%
25%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PAY
3 - 1
BPA
80%
14%
5%
|
65 | 36 | 29 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 1
PAY
66%
21%
14%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 1
PAY
13%
21%
67%
|
45 | 66 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
SEC
0 - 2
AGU
23%
24%
54%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
3 - 0
CAP
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
2 - 0
SEC
62%
21%
17%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
AGU
1 - 0
CAM
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |