Copa Verde Quarter-finals
Global 3-1
Paysandu vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.7%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
6.4%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+37%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 2
PAY
18%
23%
59%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 1
REM
61%
22%
17%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
FRA
0 - 3
PAY
9%
16%
75%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PAY
2 - 0
GAL
76%
16%
8%
|
64 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
PAY
1 - 0
IAC
69%
18%
13%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
AGU
1 - 2
PAY
18%
23%
59%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
PIN
0 - 2
AGU
11%
17%
72%
|
44 | 12 | 32 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 2
PAR
51%
23%
26%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AGU
3 - 0
SAO
65%
20%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
AGU
6 - 1
CAM
56%
24%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |