Paysandu vs Aguia de Maraba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAY
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 1
MAR
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 38 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
FRA
1 - 1
PAY
14%
19%
67%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 1
BRA
66%
20%
14%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
PAY
3 - 1
IAC
70%
18%
12%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Aguia de Maraba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
LUV
3 - 0
AGU
67%
20%
13%
|
50 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
AGU
5 - 2
TRE
32%
27%
41%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2013 |
AGU
3 - 1
BAR
58%
23%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
BRA
2 - 0
AGU
64%
22%
14%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
3 - 2
AGU
66%
21%
13%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |