Paysandu vs ASA Arapiraquense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.7%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.8%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
21.4%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+36%
+32%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2014 |
PAY
3 - 0
FRA
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 41 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CRB
0 - 0
PAY
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
FRA
0 - 1
PAY
13%
18%
68%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
PAY
2 - 0
AGU
63%
21%
16%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
PAY
24%
24%
52%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
ASA Arapiraquense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2014 |
ASA
3 - 2
AVA
32%
24%
44%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 1
ASA
39%
27%
35%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CRB
0 - 2
ASA
57%
23%
20%
|
53 | 59 | 6 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 2014 |
ASA
0 - 2
CRB
41%
25%
35%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
ASA
2 - 1
COR
67%
19%
14%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |