Paysandu vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
PAR
1 - 1
PAY
40%
29%
32%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 2
PAY
50%
26%
24%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
PAY
3 - 0
BOA
57%
24%
19%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
CEA
0 - 0
PAY
57%
23%
20%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
PAY
2 - 0
BRA
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
ABC
0 - 0
CRB
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2015 |
BRA
3 - 1
ABC
50%
26%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
ABC
1 - 1
SAN
33%
27%
40%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
LUV
1 - 1
ABC
52%
26%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2015 |
ABC
2 - 2
CRI
37%
28%
35%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |