Paysandu vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.7%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paysandu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
SAO
4 - 2
PAY
77%
16%
8%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2002 |
FLU
2 - 0
PAY
70%
18%
12%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | -2 |
| 27 Feb. 2002 |
PAY
1 - 2
FLU
29%
26%
45%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2002 |
PAY
3 - 0
ARO
87%
10%
3%
|
70 | 28 | 42 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2002 |
ARO
0 - 1
PAY
8%
17%
75%
|
70 | 29 | 41 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2002 |
POR
0 - 0
FFL
65%
19%
15%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2002 |
POR
1 - 0
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2002 |
GOI
3 - 1
POR
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2002 |
POR
2 - 1
BAH
50%
24%
26%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2002 |
BAH
3 - 0
POR
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |