US Pays de Cassel vs Lens II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.6%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.3%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.1%
53.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
6.6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.5%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+72%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
14º
4º
46
2º
10º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
48 | 48 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 47 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 46 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 41 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 35 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
10º
|
60% | |
|
11º
|
29 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
18 | 18 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
US Pays de Cassel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 0
PDC
54%
22%
25%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
PDC
0 - 0
DRA
42%
22%
36%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
COM
1 - 3
PDC
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
PDC
4 - 0
VAL
45%
22%
33%
|
27 | 31 | 4 | +3 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 2
PDC
52%
21%
27%
|
25 | 27 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Lens II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 0
IRI
67%
18%
14%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
COM
0 - 5
LEN
16%
19%
66%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
LEN
0 - 2
LPV
80%
12%
8%
|
38 | 18 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
SAN
2 - 2
LEN
34%
26%
41%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LEN
1 - 2
MAR
77%
15%
8%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |