Paynesville FC vs Black Man Warrior analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.4%
Win probability
3.15
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+1005%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paynesville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2024 |
BEA
1 - 1
PFC
43%
25%
33%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 0
SFC
84%
10%
6%
|
40 | 14 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 3
PFC
44%
24%
31%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
MBA
0 - 1
PFC
46%
21%
33%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
PFC
0 - 1
LPR
47%
23%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Black Man Warrior
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
BMW
1 - 1
MBA
16%
18%
66%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
LPR
1 - 2
BMW
85%
10%
5%
|
13 | 39 | 26 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
BMW
1 - 2
LIS
14%
18%
68%
|
13 | 37 | 24 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2024 |
INV
1 - 3
BMW
78%
14%
8%
|
11 | 37 | 26 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2024 |
BMW
2 - 2
HEF
10%
14%
76%
|
9 | 38 | 29 | +2 |