Paynesville FC vs BEA Mountain analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
22.3%
38.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
11.4%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+565%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paynesville FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
3 - 1
PFC
58%
20%
22%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2024 |
PFC
2 - 3
MBA
46%
22%
32%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
HEF
3 - 1
PFC
60%
19%
21%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
PFC
5 - 0
NKW
50%
22%
28%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MUS
4 - 1
PFC
34%
22%
45%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
Matches
BEA Mountain
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
BEA
2 - 1
LIS
46%
26%
29%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2024 |
NPA
1 - 5
BEA
22%
22%
56%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
WAT
2 - 1
BEA
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2024 |
BEA
0 - 0
MBA
50%
25%
26%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
HEF
2 - 3
BEA
53%
24%
24%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |