Paulton Rovers vs Sutton United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
60.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.9%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.3%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.4%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 3
PAU
73%
16%
11%
|
26 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
SWI
2 - 3
PAU
65%
19%
16%
|
25 | 35 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2017 |
BAR
4 - 0
PAU
18%
20%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
PAU
0 - 3
CIR
61%
20%
19%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
PAU
3 - 2
KID
48%
21%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Sutton United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2017 |
SUT
2 - 1
FYL
40%
25%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2017 |
SUT
2 - 2
DOV
36%
26%
38%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
WRE
1 - 1
SUT
36%
26%
37%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
SUT
3 - 2
BAR
41%
26%
34%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
WOK
2 - 0
SUT
34%
26%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |