Paulton Rovers vs Norwich City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.9%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.8%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
5%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
64.4%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulton Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
2 - 0
TAU
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 19 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
1 - 1
YAT
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Oct. 2009 |
BET
1 - 2
PAU
35%
25%
41%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2009 |
PAU
3 - 0
SHO
34%
25%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
| 03 Oct. 2009 |
WEF
2 - 1
PAU
70%
18%
11%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Norwich City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2009 |
STO
1 - 3
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 0
SWI
60%
22%
18%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2009 |
LEE
2 - 1
NOR
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2009 |
CUM
0 - 1
NOR
37%
26%
37%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2009 |
GIL
0 - 1
NOR
35%
25%
40%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |