Paulista vs XV de Piracicaba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.8%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.5%
50.1%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
13.7%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
RBB
2 - 0
PAU
58%
24%
18%
|
49 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 1
BRA
17%
23%
60%
|
48 | 64 | 16 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2014 |
MOG
4 - 4
PAU
75%
16%
9%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
PAU
1 - 3
PAL
10%
19%
71%
|
48 | 81 | 33 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2014 |
OES
2 - 1
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
XV de Piracicaba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 1
COM
67%
20%
13%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 1
XVD
42%
26%
32%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2014 |
XVD
2 - 0
LIN
62%
21%
17%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 2014 |
PEN
0 - 2
XVD
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2014 |
XVD
1 - 3
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
61 | 81 | 20 | -1 |