Paulista vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
32.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
MAR
3 - 0
PAU
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2016 |
GUA
0 - 1
PAU
59%
23%
18%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
1 - 1
MIR
20%
23%
57%
|
49 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
UNI
2 - 0
PAU
57%
23%
20%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PAU
2 - 2
SAO
38%
26%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 0
ATL
47%
26%
27%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 1
BAT
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
RIO
1 - 1
VEL
42%
26%
32%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
SAO
1 - 1
VEL
50%
26%
25%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
VEL
1 - 2
TAU
45%
26%
28%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |