Paulista vs Velo Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
40.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
PAU
61%
22%
17%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 1
NOV
27%
23%
50%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2015 |
PAU
2 - 1
COM
36%
28%
36%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
MAT
0 - 1
PAU
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
PAU
1 - 3
OES
23%
25%
52%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Velo Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
4 - 1
CAT
45%
25%
30%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2015 |
FER
2 - 0
VEL
52%
24%
23%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2015 |
BAT
3 - 1
VEL
32%
25%
43%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
VEL
1 - 0
MAT
42%
25%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |