Paulista vs União Barbarense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
19%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Paulista
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
AMP
2 - 1
PAU
35%
27%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
PAU
1 - 2
COL
71%
17%
12%
|
38 | 19 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
SKA
1 - 0
PAU
16%
19%
65%
|
40 | 18 | 22 | -2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
PAU
4 - 3
RIO
49%
25%
26%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAU
36%
26%
39%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
União Barbarense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jun. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
SKA
62%
19%
19%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2023 |
AMP
2 - 1
UNI
39%
25%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
RIO
0 - 1
UNI
58%
22%
20%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
UNI
2 - 1
COL
69%
18%
14%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
UNI
0 - 0
PAU
36%
26%
39%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |